5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.1%
158 games
As Favorite
51.0%
102 games
As Underdog
64.3%
56 games
Recent Season
51.5%
2025-26
Current Season
51.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Santa Clara
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Santa Clara
26
9
0.7430.74
+5.6
+2.9
-0.58
#10
+2.38
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Santa Clara
21
13
0.6180.62
-0.0
+0.2
—
—
+2.69
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Santa Clara
20
13
0.6060.61
-1.5
+1.8
—
—
+1.27
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Santa Clara
23
10
0.6970.70
+3.2
+4.2
—
—
+0.55
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Santa Clara
21
12
0.6360.64
+0.8
+2.6
—
—
+1.82
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Santa Clara
12
8
0.6000.60
-1.2
+1.2
—
—
-2.23
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Santa Clara
20
13
0.6060.61
-2.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Santa Clara
16
15
0.5160.52
-4.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Santa Clara
11
20
0.3550.35
-10.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Santa Clara
17
16
0.5150.52
-4.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2014-15
Arizona St.
18
16
0.5290.53
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Arizona St.
21
12
0.6360.64
+3.9
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Arizona St.
22
13
0.6290.63
+1.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Arizona St.
10
21
0.3230.32
-8.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Arizona St.
12
19
0.3870.39
-4.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Arizona St.
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Arizona St.
25
10
0.7140.71
+7.1
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Arizona St.
21
13
0.6180.62
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Arizona St.
8
22
0.2670.27
-8.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
N.C. State
22
10
0.6880.69
—
—
+0.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
N.C. State
21
14
0.6000.60
—
—
+1.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
N.C. State
21
10
0.6770.68
—
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
N.C. State
18
13
0.5810.58
—
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
N.C. State
23
11
0.6760.68
—
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
N.C. State
13
16
0.4480.45
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
N.C. State
20
14
0.5880.59
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
N.C. State
19
14
0.5760.58
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
N.C. State
17
15
0.5310.53
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
N.C. State
17
15
0.5310.53
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Miami OH
21
8
0.7240.72
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Miami OH
23
7
0.7670.77
—
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Seattle, WA
►1993-94
Miami OH
19
11
0.6330.63
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Charlotte, NC
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.