5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.0%
158 games
As Favorite
40.0%
65 games
As Underdog
63.0%
92 games
Recent Season
46.7%
2025-26
Current Season
46.7%
30 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Notre Dame
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Notre Dame
13
18
0.4190.42
-4.8
-2.7
—
—
-2.13
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Notre Dame
15
18
0.4550.45
-4.9
-2.6
—
—
-1.67
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Notre Dame
13
20
0.3940.39
-5.6
-0.3
—
—
+1.45
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Penn St.
23
14
0.6220.62
+3.0
+3.3
+0.42
#10
+1.57
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Penn St.
14
17
0.4520.45
-2.5
-1.9
—
—
+0.18
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.