5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
56.2%
152 games
As Favorite
51.9%
104 games
As Underdog
72.3%
47 games
Recent Season
48.4%
2025-26
Current Season
48.4%
31 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
UNC Wilmington
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
UNC Wilmington
27
7
0.7940.79
+1.3
+4.3
—
—
-0.02
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UNC Wilmington
27
8
0.7710.77
+0.2
+5.1
-0.15
#14
+2.12
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UNC Wilmington
21
10
0.6770.68
-2.0
+1.4
—
—
+0.05
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UNC Wilmington
24
10
0.7060.71
-1.0
+5.0
—
—
+0.69
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UNC Wilmington
27
9
0.7500.75
-1.1
+7.4
—
—
+2.79
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UNC Wilmington
7
10
0.4120.41
-6.5
-1.4
—
—
+2.50
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.