5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
48.7%
167 games
As Favorite
50.5%
105 games
As Underdog
53.2%
62 games
Recent Season
38.7%
2025-26
Current Season
38.7%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Marquette
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Marquette
12
20
0.3750.38
-4.3
-3.7
—
—
-0.82
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Marquette
23
11
0.6760.68
+6.5
+0.1
-0.86
#7
-1.63
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Marquette
27
10
0.7300.73
+8.3
+3.0
-0.27
#2
-0.16
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Marquette
29
7
0.8060.81
+9.4
+6.4
-1.27
#2
+2.83
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Marquette
19
13
0.5940.59
+2.6
+2.1
-0.60
#9
+1.55
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Texas
19
8
0.7040.70
+5.8
+2.2
-1.79
#3
-0.85
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Texas
19
12
0.6130.61
+3.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Texas
21
16
0.5680.57
+1.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Texas
19
15
0.5590.56
+3.6
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Texas
11
22
0.3330.33
-3.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Texas
20
13
0.6060.61
+5.8
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
VCU
26
10
0.7220.72
+6.7
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
VCU
26
9
0.7430.74
+6.0
—
-1.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
VCU
27
9
0.7500.75
—
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
VCU
29
7
0.8060.81
—
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
VCU
28
12
0.7000.70
—
—
+4.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Houston, TX
►2009-10
VCU
27
9
0.7500.75
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.