5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
49.9%
148 games
As Favorite
42.4%
92 games
As Underdog
58.9%
56 games
Recent Season
57.1%
2025-26
Current Season
57.1%
28 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Northern Colorado
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Northern Colorado
20
12
0.6250.62
-3.8
+0.8
—
—
+1.18
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Northern Colorado
25
10
0.7140.71
-0.6
+3.6
—
—
+1.81
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Northern Colorado
19
14
0.5760.58
-5.6
+1.6
—
—
+0.79
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Northern Colorado
12
20
0.3750.38
-10.0
-2.2
—
—
-0.61
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Northern Colorado
22
16
0.5790.58
-5.8
+2.0
—
—
-1.38
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Northern Colorado
11
11
0.5000.50
-6.0
-1.5
—
—
-0.66
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.