5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
60.7%
28 games
As Favorite
50.0%
16 games
As Underdog
75.0%
12 games
Recent Season
60.7%
2025-26
Current Season
60.7%
28 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Tennessee St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Tennessee St.
23
10
0.6970.70
-2.5
+5.1
-0.10
#15
+3.96
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.