5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.9%
154 games
As Favorite
53.1%
96 games
As Underdog
52.6%
57 games
Recent Season
53.1%
2025-26
Current Season
53.1%
32 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Washington
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Washington
16
17
0.4850.48
-1.8
-2.6
—
—
-0.53
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Washington
13
18
0.4190.42
-4.2
-1.8
—
—
-3.63
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Utah St.
28
7
0.8000.80
+6.9
+6.2
—
—
-0.21
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Montana St.
25
10
0.7140.71
-0.2
+4.2
-0.15
#14
+0.16
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Montana St.
27
8
0.7710.77
-0.3
+4.8
-0.15
#14
+1.60
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Montana St.
13
10
0.5650.57
-5.3
+1.1
—
—
-0.80
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Montana St.
16
15
0.5160.52
-7.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.