5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
57.1%
151 games
As Favorite
56.0%
84 games
As Underdog
53.7%
67 games
Recent Season
60.0%
2025-26
Current Season
60.0%
30 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Miami OH
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Miami OH
32
2
0.9410.94
+6.0
+8.4
+0.44
#11
+2.65
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Miami OH
25
9
0.7350.74
-1.2
+5.0
—
—
+2.08
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Miami OH
15
17
0.4690.47
-8.9
+0.1
—
—
+0.83
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Miami OH
12
20
0.3750.38
-11.8
-2.3
—
—
+0.24
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Xavier
19
13
0.5940.59
+0.5
-0.4
—
—
-0.21
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Xavier
13
8
0.6190.62
+1.2
+0.4
—
—
-0.21
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Xavier
19
13
0.5940.59
+1.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Xavier
19
16
0.5430.54
+1.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.