5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
43.4%
91 games
As Favorite
50.0%
22 games
As Underdog
42.6%
68 games
Recent Season
33.3%
2023-24
Current Season
50.0%
2 games · 2026-27
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Oregon
2
0
1.0001.00
—
+0.2
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2023-24
DePaul
3
15
0.1670.17
-13.0
-5.7
—
—
-4.14
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
DePaul
10
23
0.3030.30
-7.3
-3.3
—
—
-1.36
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
DePaul
15
16
0.4840.48
-2.7
+0.7
—
—
+2.12
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2004-05
New Mexico State
2
12
0.1430.14
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.