5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
48.7%
133 games
As Favorite
45.9%
61 games
As Underdog
55.6%
72 games
Recent Season
37.5%
2025-26
Current Season
37.5%
32 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2025-26
Kansas St.
10
15
0.4000.40
-3.6
-3.5
—
—
-2.66
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Kansas St.
16
17
0.4850.48
+0.2
-0.8
—
—
-0.39
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Kansas St.
19
15
0.5590.56
+3.1
+1.4
—
—
+0.28
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Kansas St.
26
10
0.7220.72
+6.7
+5.1
+1.21
#3
+3.25
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Houston, TX
►2012-13
Baylor
2
0
1.0001.00
+0.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.