5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
44.5%
119 games
As Favorite
37.5%
40 games
As Underdog
47.4%
78 games
Recent Season
40.0%
2025-26
Current Season
40.0%
30 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Elon
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Elon
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.6
-2.1
—
—
-1.07
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Elon
17
16
0.5150.52
-7.8
-0.9
—
—
+0.08
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Elon
13
19
0.4060.41
-11.4
-0.6
—
—
-0.67
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Elon
8
24
0.2500.25
-16.4
-4.0
—
—
-0.98
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2012-13
Ball St.
15
15
0.5000.50
-6.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Ball St.
15
15
0.5000.50
-6.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Ball St.
19
13
0.5940.59
-4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Ball St.
15
15
0.5000.50
-6.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Ball St.
14
17
0.4520.45
-8.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Ball St.
6
24
0.2000.20
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Lehigh
12
19
0.3870.39
-10.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Lehigh
19
12
0.6130.61
-3.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Lehigh
14
15
0.4830.48
-8.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Lehigh
20
11
0.6450.65
-3.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Lehigh
16
12
0.5710.57
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.