5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
45.7%
59 games
As Favorite
48.0%
25 games
As Underdog
44.1%
34 games
Recent Season
45.2%
2021-22
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Kansas City
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2021-22
Maryland
5
3
0.6250.62
-2.5
-1.6
—
—
-0.65
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Maryland
17
14
0.5480.55
+2.2
+0.3
+0.42
#10
+1.18
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Maryland
24
7
0.7740.77
+8.8
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Maryland
23
11
0.6760.68
+7.0
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Maryland
19
13
0.5940.59
+1.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Maryland
24
9
0.7270.73
+6.3
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Maryland
27
9
0.7500.75
+7.3
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Maryland
28
7
0.8000.80
+9.7
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Maryland
17
15
0.5310.53
-0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Maryland
25
13
0.6580.66
+1.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Maryland
17
15
0.5310.53
-1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Texas A&M
24
9
0.7270.73
+5.7
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Texas A&M
24
10
0.7060.71
+7.2
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Texas A&M
24
10
0.7060.71
+4.8
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Texas A&M
25
11
0.6940.69
—
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Wichita St.
17
14
0.5480.55
+0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Wichita St.
26
9
0.7430.74
+5.9
—
+1.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Wichita St.
22
10
0.6880.69
+3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Wichita St.
21
11
0.6560.66
+1.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Wichita St.
18
12
0.6000.60
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Wichita St.
15
15
0.5000.50
-4.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Wichita St.
9
19
0.3210.32
-8.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Jacksonville St.
17
11
0.6070.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Jacksonville St.
8
18
0.3080.31
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Petersburg, FL
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.