5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.5%
169 games
As Favorite
54.5%
134 games
As Underdog
54.3%
35 games
Recent Season
59.5%
2025-26
Current Season
59.5%
37 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Illinois
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Illinois
28
9
0.7570.76
+8.6
+1.6
+2.21
#3
+2.74
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Illinois
22
13
0.6290.63
+5.7
-0.6
-0.02
#6
+0.66
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Illinois
29
9
0.7630.76
+8.6
+4.4
+1.21
#3
+2.37
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Illinois
20
13
0.6060.61
+2.1
-1.4
-0.60
#9
-0.02
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Illinois
23
10
0.6970.70
+5.6
+0.9
-0.52
#4
-1.74
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Illinois
24
7
0.7740.77
+10.5
+4.0
-2.26
#1
+5.13
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Illinois
21
10
0.6770.68
+5.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Illinois
12
21
0.3640.36
-2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Illinois
14
18
0.4380.44
-3.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Oklahoma St.
20
13
0.6060.61
+4.2
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Stephen F. Austin
28
6
0.8240.82
+1.9
—
+0.85
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Stephen F. Austin
29
5
0.8530.85
+4.7
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Stephen F. Austin
32
3
0.9140.91
+4.3
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.