5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
49.0%
91 games
As Favorite
52.3%
65 games
As Underdog
42.3%
26 games
Recent Season
42.4%
2025-26
Current Season
42.4%
33 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
LSU
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
N.C. State
20
14
0.5880.59
+3.4
-2.3
-0.56
#11
-1.65
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
McNeese
28
7
0.8000.80
+3.0
+2.7
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
McNeese
22
2
0.9170.92
+3.8
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2021-22
LSU
22
11
0.6670.67
+4.6
-0.5
-1.02
#6
+0.06
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
LSU
19
10
0.6550.66
+4.4
+1.8
+0.31
#8
+3.17
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
LSU
21
10
0.6770.68
+3.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
LSU
25
5
0.8330.83
+9.8
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
LSU
18
15
0.5450.55
+0.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
VCU
26
9
0.7430.74
+4.7
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
VCU
25
11
0.6940.69
+2.7
—
+0.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Chattanooga
22
10
0.6880.69
-2.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Chattanooga
18
15
0.5450.55
-7.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.