5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
45.1%
133 games
As Favorite
52.9%
51 games
As Underdog
41.2%
80 games
Recent Season
37.0%
2025-26
Current Season
37.0%
27 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2025-26
Little Rock
12
20
0.3750.38
-12.8
-3.7
—
—
-2.57
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Little Rock
19
14
0.5760.58
-6.6
+0.3
—
—
+0.78
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Little Rock
21
13
0.6180.62
-5.4
+2.4
—
—
+2.66
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Little Rock
10
21
0.3230.32
-14.0
-3.1
—
—
-0.39
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Little Rock
9
19
0.3210.32
-10.2
-1.4
—
—
+0.09
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Little Rock
11
15
0.4230.42
-9.2
-2.6
—
—
-2.38
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Little Rock
21
10
0.6770.68
-0.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Little Rock
10
21
0.3230.32
-10.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.