5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
46.7%
56 games
As Favorite
28.6%
21 games
As Underdog
57.1%
35 games
Recent Season
51.7%
2021-22
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2021-22
Kansas St.
14
17
0.4520.45
-1.7
-1.1
—
—
+1.66
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Kansas St.
9
20
0.3100.31
-6.0
-1.0
—
—
-1.37
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Kansas St.
11
21
0.3440.34
-5.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Kansas St.
25
9
0.7350.74
+9.0
—
-1.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Kansas St.
25
12
0.6760.68
+5.1
—
+2.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Kansas St.
21
14
0.6000.60
+4.0
—
+0.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Kansas St.
17
16
0.5150.52
+0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Kansas St.
15
17
0.4690.47
-0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Kansas St.
20
13
0.6060.61
+3.0
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Kansas St.
27
8
0.7710.77
+8.2
—
-1.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Illinois
17
15
0.5310.53
+0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Illinois
20
14
0.5880.59
+3.6
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Illinois
21
15
0.5830.58
+2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Illinois
24
10
0.7060.71
+6.1
—
-1.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Illinois
16
19
0.4570.46
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Illinois
23
12
0.6570.66
+4.7
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Illinois
26
7
0.7880.79
+7.9
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Illinois
37
2
0.9490.95
+14.5
—
+1.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Illinois
26
7
0.7880.79
+7.7
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Southern Illinois
24
7
0.7740.77
—
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Southern Illinois
28
8
0.7780.78
+4.7
—
+1.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Southern Illinois
16
14
0.5330.53
-2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Southern Illinois
20
13
0.6060.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Southern Illinois
15
12
0.5560.56
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Petersburg, FL
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.