5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.3%
166 games
As Favorite
55.9%
93 games
As Underdog
55.6%
72 games
Recent Season
45.5%
2025-26
Current Season
45.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Maryland
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Maryland
12
21
0.3640.36
-3.3
-1.2
—
—
-0.59
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Texas A&M
23
11
0.6760.68
+8.1
+2.3
-0.52
#4
-0.21
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Texas A&M
21
15
0.5830.58
+2.5
-0.2
+0.40
#9
-0.73
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Texas A&M
25
10
0.7140.71
+5.8
+4.3
-0.86
#7
+2.29
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Texas A&M
27
13
0.6750.68
+3.6
+3.1
—
—
+2.15
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Texas A&M
8
10
0.4440.44
-2.5
-1.2
—
—
-3.18
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Texas A&M
16
14
0.5330.53
-0.8
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Virginia Tech
26
9
0.7430.74
+7.2
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Virginia Tech
21
12
0.6360.64
+2.9
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Virginia Tech
22
11
0.6670.67
+4.7
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Virginia Tech
20
15
0.5710.57
+1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Virginia Tech
11
22
0.3330.33
-8.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Marquette
17
15
0.5310.53
+0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Marquette
26
9
0.7430.74
+7.0
—
+1.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Marquette
27
8
0.7710.77
+7.9
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Marquette
22
15
0.5950.59
+2.5
—
+1.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Marquette
22
12
0.6470.65
+4.5
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Marquette
25
10
0.7140.71
+5.7
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Detroit, MI
►2006-07
New Orleans
14
17
0.4520.45
-9.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.