5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
48.0%
25 games
As Favorite
50.0%
20 games
As Underdog
40.0%
5 games
Recent Season
48.0%
2020-21
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2020-21
North Carolina
18
11
0.6210.62
+4.0
-0.6
-0.69
#8
-1.63
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
North Carolina
14
19
0.4240.42
-2.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
North Carolina
29
7
0.8060.81
+11.9
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
North Carolina
26
11
0.7030.70
+8.4
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
North Carolina
33
7
0.8250.82
+9.7
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
North Carolina
33
7
0.8250.82
+10.3
—
+1.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Houston, TX
►2014-15
North Carolina
26
12
0.6840.68
+7.1
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
North Carolina
24
10
0.7060.71
+5.2
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
North Carolina
25
11
0.6940.69
+5.3
—
+0.31
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
North Carolina
32
6
0.8420.84
+9.9
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
North Carolina
29
8
0.7840.78
+9.1
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Houston, TX
►2009-10
North Carolina
20
17
0.5410.54
-0.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
North Carolina
34
4
0.8950.89
+10.0
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
North Carolina
36
3
0.9230.92
—
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
North Carolina
31
7
0.8160.82
+10.1
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
North Carolina
23
8
0.7420.74
+5.9
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
North Carolina
33
4
0.8920.89
+11.2
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
North Carolina
19
11
0.6330.63
+4.6
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Kansas
30
8
0.7890.79
—
—
+2.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Kansas
33
4
0.8920.89
+13.4
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Kansas
26
7
0.7880.79
+8.6
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Kansas
24
10
0.7060.71
—
—
+0.31
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Kansas
23
10
0.6970.70
—
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Kansas
35
4
0.8970.90
—
—
-2.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Kansas
34
2
0.9440.94
—
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Kansas
29
5
0.8530.85
—
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Kansas
25
6
0.8060.81
—
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Seattle, WA
►1993-94
Kansas
27
8
0.7710.77
—
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Charlotte, NC
►1992-93
Kansas
29
7
0.8060.81
—
—
+1.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►1991-92
Kansas
27
5
0.8440.84
—
—
-2.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►1990-91
Kansas
27
8
0.7710.77
—
—
+3.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Indianapolis, IN
►1989-90
Kansas
30
5
0.8570.86
—
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Denver, CO
►1988-89
Kansas
19
12
0.6130.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Seattle, WA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.