5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
43.5%
112 games
As Favorite
60.0%
10 games
As Underdog
42.2%
102 games
Recent Season
27.6%
2025-26
Current Season
27.6%
29 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
VMI
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
VMI
6
26
0.1880.19
-19.0
-5.9
—
—
-5.09
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
VMI
15
19
0.4410.44
-10.8
+0.6
—
—
+1.33
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
VMI
4
28
0.1250.12
-19.4
-5.2
—
—
-3.91
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
VMI
7
25
0.2190.22
-17.1
-3.4
—
—
-1.83
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.