5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
54.0%
59 games
As Favorite
57.7%
52 games
As Underdog
28.6%
7 games
Recent Season
55.6%
2021-22
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2021-22
Villanova
30
8
0.7890.79
+9.3
+4.3
+1.73
#2
+0.28
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Villanova
18
7
0.7200.72
+4.7
+0.2
+0.88
#5
-0.96
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Villanova
24
7
0.7740.77
+8.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Villanova
26
10
0.7220.72
+7.5
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Villanova
36
4
0.9000.90
+12.9
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Villanova
32
4
0.8890.89
+13.7
—
-2.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Villanova
35
5
0.8750.88
+11.0
—
+3.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Villanova
33
3
0.9170.92
+14.2
—
-2.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Villanova
29
5
0.8530.85
+10.9
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Villanova
20
14
0.5880.59
+3.0
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Villanova
13
19
0.4060.41
-3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Villanova
21
12
0.6360.64
+4.0
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Villanova
25
8
0.7580.76
+8.3
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Villanova
30
8
0.7890.79
+8.1
—
+2.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Villanova
22
13
0.6290.63
—
—
+1.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Villanova
22
11
0.6670.67
+5.6
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Villanova
28
5
0.8480.85
+10.3
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Villanova
24
8
0.7500.75
+6.2
—
+0.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Villanova
18
17
0.5140.51
-0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Villanova
15
16
0.4840.48
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Villanova
19
13
0.5940.59
+1.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Hofstra
26
5
0.8390.84
+3.5
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Hofstra
24
7
0.7740.77
—
—
-0.15
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Hofstra
22
10
0.6880.69
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Hofstra
19
12
0.6130.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Hofstra
12
15
0.4440.44
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Hofstra
9
18
0.3330.33
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Hofstra
10
18
0.3570.36
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Seattle, WA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.